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Market
Outcome of Israeli military campaign in Gaza by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete defeat of Hamas • 25%
Partial defeat with cease-fire • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Hamas retains significant control • 25%
Reports from Israeli government, IDF announcements, and major international news agencies
Story
Israeli Defense Minister Katz Confirms IDF Will Maintain Security Control Over Gaza, Buffer Zones, and Aim to Defeat Hamas
Dec 25, 2024, 02:24 PM
Israeli Defense Minister Yisrael Katz announced during a visit to the Philadelphi Corridor that security control over Gaza will remain in the hands of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF). Katz emphasized that there will be no Hamas in governmental or military positions within Gaza. He outlined plans to establish buffer zones and control points to ensure Israel's security. The minister reaffirmed the objectives of the ongoing military campaign, which include the release of hostages and the complete defeat of Hamas. This announcement comes amidst heightened tensions in the region and ongoing discussions regarding a potential cease-fire.
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Similar markets
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Ceasefire with conditions • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant Israeli gains • 25%
Significant Hamas gains • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full Israeli control • 25%
Partial Israeli control • 25%
Return to pre-October 7 status quo • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful • 33%
Unsuccessful • 33%
Ongoing • 34%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Other • 25%
IDF victory • 25%
Hamas retains control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Hamas leadership eliminated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant reduction in Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Continuation of current conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Withdrawal without gains • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas significantly weakened • 25%
Hamas retains capabilities • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Significant reduction in hostilities • 25%
Continuation of current conflict levels • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%