Loading...
Market
Number of Israeli hostages released by end of Phase II ceasefire
2
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Joe Biden•Donald Trump•United States•Israel•Gaza•Hamas•Netanyahu•Trump•Biden•Palestinian
Resolution / Starting Odds
33 released • 25%
Less than 33 released • 25%
More than 33 released • 25%
None released • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or credible news organizations
Story
Netanyahu Assured by Biden and Trump of US Support and Weapons Return for Gaza Fighting if Ceasefire Fails
Jan 17, 2025, 11:09 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has informed his cabinet that he has received assurances from both President Joe Biden and President-elect Donald Trump that the United States will support Israel's return to intense fighting in Gaza if negotiations on Phase II of the ceasefire agreement with Hamas fail and Hamas does not accept Israel's security demands. Netanyahu also stated that upon Trump's inauguration, Israel will receive back all the weapons that were previously seized or denied by the Biden administration. This assurance is considered crucial as it would provide Israel with additional tools to resume fighting if necessary. The Israeli government has approved a deal with Hamas that includes the release of 33 Israeli hostages in exchange for over 1,700 Palestinian detainees during the first phase of the ceasefire, which is set to last 42 days and begin on Sunday.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 30 • 25%
30 to 40 • 25%
41 to 50 • 25%
More than 50 • 25%
More than 33 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-33 • 25%
21-40 • 25%
0-20 • 25%
More than 60 • 25%
41-60 • 25%
Most hostages released • 25%
None released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Few hostages released • 25%
More than 60 • 25%
Less than 20 • 25%
20 to 40 • 25%
41 to 60 • 25%
Less than 33 • 25%
Exactly 33 • 25%
More than 33 • 25%
No release • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
21 to 33 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
None • 25%
Few Released • 25%
All Hostages Released • 25%
None Released • 25%
Majority Released • 25%
Less than 800 • 25%
More than 1,000 • 25%
900 to 1,000 • 25%
800 to 900 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
1-10 • 25%
None • 25%
More than 20 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
21 to 30 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%