Loading...
Market
How many hostages will be released by Hamas by the end of the ceasefire period?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
All hostages released • 25%
Most hostages released • 25%
Few hostages released • 25%
None released • 25%
Reports from major news outlets and statements from involved governments
Story
Blinken Confident Israel-Hamas Gaza Ceasefire Will Start Sunday, Mediated by U.S., Qatar, Egypt
Jan 16, 2025, 04:39 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken expressed confidence that the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas in Gaza will begin on Sunday as planned, despite a last-minute issue that delayed the Israeli government's approval of the deal. The ceasefire and hostage release agreement, mediated by the U.S., Qatar, and Egypt, aims to halt 15 months of conflict. Blinken noted that negotiators are addressing the final details, which he referred to as a 'loose end.' The deal includes a six-week initial ceasefire, the gradual withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza, and the release of hostages by Hamas in exchange for Palestinian prisoners held by Israel.
View original story
Similar markets
41 to 60 • 25%
Less than 20 • 25%
20 to 40 • 25%
More than 60 • 25%
More than 33 • 25%
No release • 25%
Less than 33 • 25%
Exactly 33 • 25%
More than half released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Less than half released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Majority Released • 25%
None Released • 25%
All Hostages Released • 25%
Few Released • 25%
10 to 50 • 25%
More than 50 • 25%
None • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
More than 60 • 25%
0-20 • 25%
21-40 • 25%
41-60 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
11-20 • 25%
None • 25%
1-10 • 25%
More than 20 • 25%
21-33 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
More than 33 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
1-10 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
21 to 30 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%