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Market
How many hostages will be released as part of the Gaza ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
All Hostages Released • 25%
Majority Released • 25%
Few Released • 25%
None Released • 25%
Official announcements from Israel, Hamas, or international observers
Story
Qatar Delivers Final Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Deal to Israel and Hamas Amid Breakthrough Talks
Jan 13, 2025, 08:56 AM
Qatar has delivered a final draft of a Gaza ceasefire and hostage release agreement to Israel and Hamas for approval. The breakthrough came after negotiations in Doha involving Israeli intelligence officials, an envoy from U.S. President-elect Trump, and the Qatari Prime Minister. Both parties are expected to review the proposal, which aims to end the war in Gaza.
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Similar markets
Exactly 33 • 25%
Less than 33 • 25%
No release • 25%
More than 33 • 25%
21-40 • 25%
More than 60 • 25%
0-20 • 25%
41-60 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
10 to 50 • 25%
51 to 100 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Less than 20 • 25%
20 to 34 • 25%
35 to 50 • 25%
More than 50 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
11-34 • 25%
35-50 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
More than 50 • 25%
More than 34 hostages • 25%
0-10 hostages • 25%
11-20 hostages • 25%
21-34 hostages • 25%
