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Naval confrontation between Philippines and China by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified reports from international news agencies and government statements
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Philippines Asserts Independence Amid South China Sea Tensions Over Ren'ai Jiao
Jun 8, 2024, 01:42 PM
China has expressed opposition to the Philippines' attempt to permanently occupy Ren'ai Jiao. The Philippines has responded by asserting its security independence and stating that it will continue to maintain and supply its South China Sea outposts without seeking permission from any other nation. Tensions have escalated as Sweden's defense chief criticized Beijing's dangerous maneuvers against Philippine vessels, which he said threaten global security and stability. Additionally, the Philippines accused China of harassing scientists and the Philippine Coast Guard during a research mission. Video evidence from the Global Times showed Philippine military boats involved in the transport and repair of suspicious materials. China’s Defense Minister has warned of 'limits' to Beijing’s restraint in the region.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic Agreement • 33%
Military Confrontation • 33%
Ongoing Dispute • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic protest • 33%
Military reinforcement • 33%
International appeal • 33%
