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Military confrontation involving China in South China Sea by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
International news agencies, defense departments of involved nations
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China's New Coast Guard Rules Allow 60-Day Detention of Foreigners in South China Sea
Jun 15, 2024, 09:45 AM
China has implemented new coast guard rules that allow the detention of foreigners in the disputed South China Sea without trial. The regulations permit the detention of individuals for up to 60 days if they are found trespassing in the contested maritime areas. These measures, which have taken effect, have sparked concerns over the potential for increased tensions in the region.
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Sanctions against China • 25%
Sanctions against Philippines • 25%
Diplomatic mediation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%