Market
Will there be renewed negotiations between Israel and Syria regarding the Golan Heights buffer zone by mid-2025?
3
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Golan Heights•Syria•Mount Hermon•Syrian•Netanyahu•Israel Katz•Jewish•Druze
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the governments of Israel and Syria, or reports from major international news outlets
Story
Israel Seizes Golan Buffer Zone as Netanyahu Declares 1974 Agreement Collapsed
Dec 8, 2024, 01:46 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has instructed the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to seize control of the buffer zone in the Golan Heights near Syria, including reportedly taking over Mount Hermon. This move comes after Syrian troops reportedly abandoned their positions, leading Netanyahu to declare the 1974 disengagement agreement collapsed. The IDF action aims to protect Israeli communities in the Golan Heights from potential threats. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that the operation is meant to ensure the safety of both Jewish and Druze communities in the area. Netanyahu emphasized that the IDF's presence in the buffer zone is a temporary defensive measure.
View original story
Similar markets
Full concession by Israel • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Partial concession by Israel • 25%
No negotiations held • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Partial Withdrawal • 25%
Full Withdrawal • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Israel withdraws with conditions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No withdrawal by end of 2025 • 25%
Israel withdraws unconditionally • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Complete withdrawal by Israel • 25%
No withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial withdrawal by Israel • 25%