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Will Israel establish a buffer zone in the Golan Heights by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements by the Israeli government or reputable international news agencies
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Netanyahu at Golan Heights: Assad's Fall a 'Historic Day,' Result of Israel's Strikes on Iran, Hezbollah
Dec 8, 2024, 01:19 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visited the Golan Heights near the Syrian border and declared that the fall of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's regime marks a historic day in the Middle East. Netanyahu described Assad's government as 'a central link in Iran's axis of evil' and stated that its collapse is 'a direct result of the blows we inflicted on Iran and Hezbollah, Assad's main supporters.' He added that this has 'set off a chain reaction of all those who want to free themselves from this tyranny and its oppression.' He emphasized that the demise of the regime creates 'new, very important opportunities' for Israel but also comes with significant risks. Netanyahu affirmed that Israel will not allow any hostile forces to establish themselves along its borders, noting that a 50-year deal has 'collapsed,' allowing Israel to take a buffer zone.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
A new peace agreement • 25%
Syria regains control • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Israel withdraws voluntarily • 25%
Israel forced to withdraw • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Return to 1974 agreement terms • 25%
