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What will be the outcome of potential negotiations between Israel and Syria regarding the Golan Heights by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Status quo maintained • 25%
Partial concession by Israel • 25%
Full concession by Israel • 25%
No negotiations held • 25%
Official statements from involved governments or credible international mediators
Story
Israel Warns Syria of Forceful Response if Iran Returns or Hezbollah Arms
Dec 10, 2024, 03:02 PM
Israel has issued a stern warning to the new Syrian regime, stating that it will act decisively to protect its security if the new government allows Iran to re-establish its presence in Syria or acts against Israel. This statement was made by a senior Israeli official, who emphasized that Israel does not wish to interfere in Syria's internal affairs but will respond forcefully to any threats. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reiterated this position, highlighting Israel's intention to establish relations with the new Syrian leadership but warning of a strong response should Iran return or if weapons are transferred to Hezbollah. The Israeli stance comes amidst hopes that the new regime will focus on the welfare of the Syrian people and restore ties with the Arab world, while maintaining security in the Golan Heights.
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Full Withdrawal • 25%
Partial Withdrawal • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Partial withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Complete withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel increases presence • 25%
Israel agrees to withdraw • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Israel forced to withdraw • 25%
Israel withdraws voluntarily • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks fail • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Successful peace talks initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
A new peace agreement • 25%
Syria regains control • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Talks scheduled for future • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Talks held, no resolution • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased international sanctions • 25%
Israel withdraws from buffer zone • 25%