Market
Will Israel maintain control of the Golan Heights buffer zone throughout 2025?
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Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Golan Heights•Syria•Mount Hermon•Syrian•Netanyahu•Israel Katz•Jewish•Druze
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Israeli government and reports from international news agencies
Story
Israel Seizes Golan Buffer Zone as Netanyahu Declares 1974 Agreement Collapsed
Dec 8, 2024, 01:46 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has instructed the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to seize control of the buffer zone in the Golan Heights near Syria, including reportedly taking over Mount Hermon. This move comes after Syrian troops reportedly abandoned their positions, leading Netanyahu to declare the 1974 disengagement agreement collapsed. The IDF action aims to protect Israeli communities in the Golan Heights from potential threats. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that the operation is meant to ensure the safety of both Jewish and Druze communities in the area. Netanyahu emphasized that the IDF's presence in the buffer zone is a temporary defensive measure.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
A new peace agreement • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Syria regains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Return to 1974 agreement terms • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel withdraws unconditionally • 25%
No withdrawal by end of 2025 • 25%
Israel withdraws with conditions • 25%
