Market
Will there be a leadership change in Iran's nuclear negotiation team by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes, due to internal decision • 25%
Yes, due to external pressure • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Iranian government or major news outlets
Story
Lindsey Graham Calls for Military Action Against Iran's Nuclear Program, Claims 'One in a Trillion' Chance for Diplomacy
Jan 20, 2025, 06:47 AM
Senator Lindsey Graham has called for military action against Iran's nuclear program, emphasizing that the highest priority is to prevent a nuclear-capable Iran. In a series of statements, Graham indicated that he believes diplomatic efforts have little chance of success, stating that the likelihood of effective negotiations is 'one in a trillion.' He asserted that Hamas will not govern Gaza and that the next step is to eliminate Iran's nuclear capabilities. Graham also mentioned his intent to collaborate with former President Donald Trump to achieve this goal, reinforcing his stance on the urgency of addressing Iran's nuclear threat.
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Similar markets
Supreme Leader • 25%
Neither • 25%
President • 25%
Both • 25%
Continuation with increased transparency • 25%
Complete suspension of nuclear program • 25%
Acceleration of nuclear development • 25%
No change in current policy • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
Change in both countries' leadership • 25%
Change in Israeli leadership • 25%
Change in Iranian leadership • 25%
Pursue nuclear weapons • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Enhance nuclear energy use • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Germany • 25%
United States • 25%
France • 25%
Other country • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Increase enrichment levels • 25%
Decrease enrichment levels • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Policy change • 25%
No change • 25%
Both changes • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
