Market
How will U.S. policy towards Taiwan arms sales change by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Maintain current policy • 25%
Increase support for Taiwan • 25%
Decrease support for Taiwan • 25%
Shift to a neutral stance • 25%
Policy announcements from the U.S. Department of State or White House
Story
China Opposes $385 Million U.S. Arms Sales to Taiwan, Violating One-China Principle
Dec 1, 2024, 03:35 AM
China has expressed strong opposition to the recent approval of U.S. arms sales to Taiwan, valued at $385 million. A spokesperson from the Chinese Foreign Ministry stated that this decision contradicts U.S. commitments to not support Taiwan's independence and violates the one-China principle, as well as several key agreements between China and the U.S., particularly the August 17 Communiqué of 1982. The spokesperson emphasized that China has lodged serious protests against the U.S. regarding this matter and called for an immediate cessation of arms sales to Taiwan.
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Similar markets
Cancelled • 25%
Sales are reduced • 25%
Sales are canceled • 25%
Sales are delayed • 25%
Sales proceed without change • 25%
Reduced • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Proceed as planned • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Decreased support for Taiwan • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic shift without military change • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Decreased military support • 25%
Maintained current level of support • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Decrease in military aid • 25%
Increase in military aid • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in military interactions • 25%
Decrease in military interactions • 25%
No change in military interactions • 25%
Complete cessation of military interactions • 25%
Neutral stance from most countries • 25%
Condemnation from China • 25%
Other • 25%
Support from US allies • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened military agreements • 25%
No change in agreements • 25%
Reduced military agreements • 25%