Market
Will new safety regulations for Baltic Sea commercial vessels be implemented by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Baltic Sea bordering countries or maritime regulatory bodies
Story
U.S. and European Intelligence Conclude Baltic Sea Cable Damage Due to Accidents, Not Russian Sabotage: Washington Post
Jan 19, 2025, 02:01 PM
U.S. and European intelligence agencies have concluded that recent damage to undersea cables in the Baltic Sea was the result of accidents, not Russian sabotage, according to reports from The Washington Post. Investigations have found no evidence that the commercial vessels suspected of dragging anchors across the seabed did so intentionally or under orders from Moscow. Instead, the damage is attributed to inexperienced crews operating poorly maintained ships. This conclusion is supported by multiple unnamed U.S. and European intelligence officials.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant changes • 25%
Other policy changes • 25%
Collaboration on international security protocols • 25%
Increased maritime security measures • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Unintentional miscommunication • 25%
Deliberate provocation • 25%
Other Baltic Sea country • 25%
Joint effort • 25%
Sweden • 25%
Finland • 25%
