Market
Will China announce retaliatory measures against U.S. tariffs by Mar 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Chinese government or state media
Story
Trump Weighs 10% Tariff on China Starting Feb. 1 Over Fentanyl Exports to Mexico, Canada
Jan 22, 2025, 02:01 AM
President Donald Trump announced his administration is considering imposing a 10% tariff on China, potentially effective February 1, citing China's role in fentanyl exports to Mexico and Canada. “We're talking about a tariff of 10% on China based on the fact that they're sending fentanyl to Mexico and Canada,” Trump said. He also mentioned that he had discussed the issue with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Tariffs on US goods • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Non-tariff barriers • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Negotiations initiated • 25%
No response • 25%
