Market
What retaliatory measures will China take in response to US tariffs by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Tariffs on US goods • 25%
Non-tariff barriers • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Official announcements from the Chinese government or credible news outlets
Story
Trump Considers 10% Tariff on China Over Fentanyl Exports, Aiming for February 1
Jan 21, 2025, 11:05 PM
President Donald Trump announced that his administration is discussing the imposition of a 10% tariff on China, with the potential implementation date set for February 1. The proposed tariff is in response to China's alleged export of fentanyl to Mexico and Canada. Trump's comments were made during a press briefing at the White House, where he also mentioned the possibility of tariffs on Mexico and Canada, though these were not detailed in the context of the China tariff discussion.
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Similar markets
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Other • 25%
Negotiations initiated • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
No response • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
