Market
Impact of U.S. tariff on China's GDP growth rate in 2025
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
GDP growth decreases by >1% • 25%
GDP growth decreases by <=1% • 25%
No change in GDP growth • 25%
GDP growth increases • 25%
Reports from the International Monetary Fund or World Bank
Story
Trump Weighs 10% Tariff on China Starting Feb. 1 Over Fentanyl Exports to Mexico, Canada
Jan 22, 2025, 02:01 AM
President Donald Trump announced his administration is considering imposing a 10% tariff on China, potentially effective February 1, citing China's role in fentanyl exports to Mexico and Canada. “We're talking about a tariff of 10% on China based on the fact that they're sending fentanyl to Mexico and Canada,” Trump said. He also mentioned that he had discussed the issue with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
View original story
Similar markets
Significant decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Moderate decrease • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Decrease by more than 2% • 25%
Decrease by 1-2% • 25%
Decrease by less than 1% • 25%
Increase • 25%
Moderate Decrease (5-10%) • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Significant Decrease (>10%) • 25%
Increase in Trade Volume • 25%
Worsening • 25%
Uncertain • 25%
No Change • 25%
Improvement • 25%
Trade deficit remains the same • 25%
Trade deficit increases • 25%
Trade surplus achieved • 25%
Trade deficit decreases • 25%
Significant decrease in exports • 25%
Increase in exports • 25%
No significant change in exports • 25%
Moderate decrease in exports • 25%
Decrease by 10% or more • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease by less than 10% • 25%
Increase • 25%
Significant positive impact • 25%
Moderate positive impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Tariff Canceled • 25%
10% Tariff Imposed • 25%
Tariff Delayed • 25%
Other Action Taken • 25%