Market
Will any drug cartels be designated as global terrorist organizations by June 30, 2025?
4
Donald Trump•White House•Fox News•NORTHCOM•Department of Defense•Biden•CBP One•Cuba•Haiti•Nicaragua•Venezuela•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes, one cartel • 25%
Yes, multiple cartels • 25%
No, none • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. State Department or White House
Story
Trump to Sign 11 Border Orders: Deploy Troops, Finish Wall, End Asylum
Jan 20, 2025, 02:11 PM
President Donald Trump is expected to sign 11 executive orders today aimed at tightening border security and overhauling immigration policies. According to incoming White House officials and reports from Fox News, the orders include declaring a national emergency at the southern border, deploying additional U.S. troops to the border under NORTHCOM, and directing the Department of Defense to complete the construction of the border wall. The administration plans to terminate mass parole programs implemented during the Biden administration, such as the CBP One app and migrant flights from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela. Additionally, Trump intends to suspend refugee resettlement for at least four months, end asylum for immigrants entering illegally, eliminate birthright citizenship, and designate drug cartels as global terrorist organizations.
View original story
Similar markets
No, none • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes, some major cartels • 25%
Yes, all major cartels • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Tren de Aragua • 25%
Jalisco New Generation Cartel • 25%
Other • 25%
Sinaloa Cartel • 25%
MS-13 • 25%
Tren de Aragua • 25%
Both MS-13 and Tren de Aragua • 25%
Neither • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
4 to 6 gangs classified • 25%
1 to 3 gangs classified • 25%
0 gangs classified • 25%
More than 6 gangs classified • 25%