Market
Will the U.S. designate Mexican drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations by June 30, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement or publication by the U.S. Department of State or White House
Story
Trump to Launch National Anti-Drug Campaign, Designate Mexican Cartels as Terrorists
Dec 22, 2024, 09:21 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to launch a national anti-drug campaign and to designate Mexican drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations upon taking office on January 20. Trump stated that the campaign will focus on the physical effects of drug use, particularly highlighting how drugs like fentanyl ruin appearance and health. He also vowed to immediately expel all foreign gang members and dismantle criminal networks operating in the U.S. In response, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum emphasized Mexico's sovereignty, asserting that the country will not accept foreign interference and will continue to collaborate with the U.S. on drug issues without subordination.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
None • 25%
Sinaloa Cartel • 25%
Both • 25%
Jalisco New Generation Cartel • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No, none • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes, one cartel • 25%
Yes, multiple cartels • 25%
Neither • 25%
MS-13 • 25%
Tren de Aragua • 25%
Both MS-13 and Tren de Aragua • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased border security • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
