Market
How many drug trafficking gangs will be classified as terrorist organizations by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
0 gangs classified • 25%
1 to 3 gangs classified • 25%
4 to 6 gangs classified • 25%
More than 6 gangs classified • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of State or credible news sources
Story
Trump to Classify Drug Gangs as Terrorists, Deport Tren de Aragua, Deploy Troops to Border
Jan 20, 2025, 12:15 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to classify drug trafficking gangs, including the Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua, as terrorist organizations. This move is part of a broader initiative to deport foreign criminals from the United States. Trump specifically mentioned the Tren de Aragua, labeling it a 'wild gang', and stated that his administration would quickly regain control of U.S. territory and borders. He plans to sign an executive order on his first day in office to prioritize the elimination of foreign criminal cartels and gangs operating in the U.S. The Tren de Aragua is reported to be active in 16 states across the country. Additionally, Trump intends to deploy troops to the U.S.-Mexico border as part of this strategy.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Yes, multiple cartels • 25%
Yes, one cartel • 25%
No, none • 25%
No, none • 25%
Yes, some major cartels • 25%
Yes, all major cartels • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Sinaloa Cartel • 25%
Jalisco New Generation Cartel • 25%
Tren de Aragua • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
MS-13 • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both MS-13 and Tren de Aragua • 25%
Tren de Aragua • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
