Market
Which international organization will first condemn U.S. two-gender policy by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Amnesty International • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from international organizations and news reports
Story
Trump Announces U.S. Will Recognize Only Two Genders, Effective Immediately
Jan 20, 2025, 05:40 PM
In his inauguration speech on January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump announced that the United States government will officially recognize only two genders—male and female. He stated that this policy takes effect immediately, rolling back transgender protections and ending the government's recognition of a third gender option in certain settings. "As of today, it will henceforth be the official policy of the United States government that there are only two genders: male and female," Trump said.
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Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
No response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No Response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant reaction • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Largely supportive • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Human Rights Watch • 25%
Amnesty International • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
None • 25%
European Union • 25%
NATO • 25%
United Nations • 25%
