Market
Which countries will express interest in acquiring Greenland by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other or None • 25%
Official statements from interested countries or reputable news reports
Story
Greenland's PM Mute Egede Seeks Independence from Denmark in New Year's Speech, Rejects Trump's Acquisition
Jan 4, 2025, 12:09 AM
Greenland's Prime Minister Mute Egede has emphasized his desire to pursue independence from Denmark, its former colonial ruler, during his New Year's speech. This marks a shift in the rhetoric surrounding the Arctic island's future, as Egede stated that the time has come for Greenlanders to take a step and shape their future regarding who they will cooperate with and who their trading partners will be. Egede's comments follow recent remarks by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, who expressed his interest in acquiring Greenland for the United States. Despite Trump's overtures, Egede has firmly stated that Greenland is not for sale and will never be for sale, emphasizing the island's long struggle for freedom. Greenland, a self-governing territory of Denmark since 1979, has had the right to declare independence through a referendum since 2009. The independence movement has gained momentum in recent years, fueled by historical grievances against Danish authorities, including an involuntary birth control campaign in the 1960s.
View original story
Similar markets
All four countries • 25%
U.S., Denmark, and Russia • 25%
U.S., Denmark, and China • 25%
U.S. and Denmark • 25%
Other • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Canada • 25%
Denmark • 25%
Denmark vs China • 25%
Denmark vs Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Denmark vs US • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Formal negotiations start • 25%
Other • 25%
Interest officially dropped • 25%
Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Increased cooperation without sale • 25%
Negotiation for sale • 25%
Rejection of sale • 25%
No response • 25%
Encourages Greenlandic decision • 25%
Open to negotiations • 25%
Firm rejection • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No official response • 25%
Support from major allies • 25%
Opposition from major allies • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
None of these • 25%
United States • 25%
Two countries • 25%
None • 25%
Three or more countries • 25%
One country • 25%
UN intervenes diplomatically • 25%
EU issues sanctions against U.S. • 25%
NATO supports Denmark • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Negotiations Started • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Interest Withdrawn • 25%
Formal Proposal Made • 25%