Market
Who will be Greenland's new trade partners by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
Official trade agreements or announcements from Greenland's government
Story
Greenland's PM Mute Egede Seeks Independence from Denmark in New Year's Speech, Rejects Trump's Acquisition
Jan 4, 2025, 12:09 AM
Greenland's Prime Minister Mute Egede has emphasized his desire to pursue independence from Denmark, its former colonial ruler, during his New Year's speech. This marks a shift in the rhetoric surrounding the Arctic island's future, as Egede stated that the time has come for Greenlanders to take a step and shape their future regarding who they will cooperate with and who their trading partners will be. Egede's comments follow recent remarks by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, who expressed his interest in acquiring Greenland for the United States. Despite Trump's overtures, Egede has firmly stated that Greenland is not for sale and will never be for sale, emphasizing the island's long struggle for freedom. Greenland, a self-governing territory of Denmark since 1979, has had the right to declare independence through a referendum since 2009. The independence movement has gained momentum in recent years, fueled by historical grievances against Danish authorities, including an involuntary birth control campaign in the 1960s.
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Alliance with Denmark • 25%
Other alliances • 25%
Independent stance • 25%
Alliance with U.S. • 25%
Closer alignment with the US • 25%
Closer alignment with another country • 25%
Closer alignment with Denmark • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
U.S. and Denmark • 25%
All four countries • 25%
U.S., Denmark, and China • 25%
U.S., Denmark, and Russia • 25%
Free trade with EU • 25%
No new agreements • 25%
Partnership with China • 25%
Trade agreement with USA • 25%
Denmark vs US • 25%
Denmark vs China • 25%
Other • 25%
Denmark vs Russia • 25%
Aligns more with Denmark • 25%
Seeks greater autonomy • 25%
Aligns more with U.S. • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No response • 25%
Rejection of sale • 25%
Negotiation for sale • 25%
Increased cooperation without sale • 25%
Strengthens ties with Denmark • 25%
No change in alliances • 25%
Seeks UN support • 25%
Seeks new alliances • 25%
US acquires Greenland • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Denmark retains control without negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Tourism development • 25%
Mineral extraction • 25%
Renewable energy projects • 25%
Fishing industry • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
None of these • 25%
United States • 25%