Market
What will South Korea decide regarding nuclear weapons development by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Pursue nuclear weapons • 25%
Maintain current non-nuclear stance • 25%
Seek nuclear sharing with the US • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the South Korean government
Story
73% of South Koreans Support Nuclear Weapons; Yoon Backed Development in 2023 Amid US Alliance Concerns
Dec 25, 2024, 05:59 PM
Public opinion in South Korea is increasingly in favor of the country developing its own nuclear weapons, with a recent poll indicating that 73% of citizens support such a move. This sentiment aligns with comments made by President Yoon in 2023, who expressed support for nuclear armament. However, analysts caution that pursuing a nuclear path could jeopardize South Korea's critical alliance with the United States. The discussion has intensified, with various commentators advocating for immediate nuclear armament for both South Korea and Japan, citing the existing nuclear capabilities of North Korea as a significant factor in their arguments.
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Similar markets
Claims refuted • 25%
Claims inconclusive • 25%
Claims verified • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Increased nuclear capabilities • 25%
Program dismantled • 25%
Reduced capabilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic pressure • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
No action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Other Changes • 25%
Strengthened Ties with US • 25%
Strengthened Ties with China • 25%
Maintained Current Stance • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
Call for diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Request for international intervention • 25%
Seek international alliances • 25%
Increase nuclear development • 25%
Strengthen conventional forces • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
