Market
What type of response will South Korea take by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic pressure • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No action • 25%
Official statements from the South Korean government or military actions
Story
North Korea Deploys 250 Hwasong-11D Missile Launchers with 300 km Range Near DMZ, Signaling Tactical Nuclear Shift
Jan 8, 2025, 01:02 AM
North Korea has reportedly begun deploying 250 Hwasong-11D ballistic missile transporter-erector-launchers (TELs) to frontline units near the Korean Demilitarized Zone (DMZ). Each TEL is equipped with four canisters and has an operational range of approximately 300 kilometers. This deployment is significant as it marks the first time a nuclear-capable system has been assigned to the Korean People's Army (KPA) Ground Force, indicating a potential shift towards tactical nuclear capabilities. The South Korean Defense Intelligence Agency has confirmed the movement of these systems, which are assessed to be nuclear-capable.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant response • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased hostility • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Claims inconclusive • 25%
Claims verified • 25%
Claims refuted • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Strengthened Ties with US • 25%
Maintained Current Stance • 25%
Other Changes • 25%
Strengthened Ties with China • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Neutral stance by most countries • 25%
Support from major allies • 25%
No official condemnation • 25%
Other response • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Condemnations Issued • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Other Actions • 25%
Increases military drills • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Conducts missile tests • 25%
Engages in diplomatic talks • 25%
South Korea conducts joint military exercises • 25%
Japan imposes additional sanctions • 25%
US increases military presence in the region • 25%
China issues a diplomatic warning • 25%
