Market
Outcome of South Korea's assessment of missile launch by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military readiness • 25%
Request for international intervention • 25%
Call for diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official reports from South Korea's Ministry of Defense
Story
North Korea Fires First Ballistic Missile of Year into East Sea Ahead of Trump's Inauguration
Jan 6, 2025, 03:14 AM
North Korea fired a ballistic missile into the East Sea (Sea of Japan) on January 6, 2025, according to reports from South Korea's military and Japanese authorities. The missile launch, the first of the year and the first in two months, is believed to have already fallen into the sea. The launch comes ahead of President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, raising tensions in the region. Japanese officials, including the Ministry of Defense and the Coast Guard, are assessing the situation, while neighboring countries monitor developments closely.
View original story
Similar markets
Claims inconclusive • 25%
Claims refuted • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Claims verified • 25%
Rocket • 25%
Ballistic Missile • 25%
Cruise Missile • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mid-range ballistic missile • 25%
Short-range ballistic missile • 25%
Hypersonic missile • 25%
Intercontinental ballistic missile • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic pressure • 25%
No action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Military response • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Engagement in talks • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant response • 25%
