What will happen to the pardoned prisoners after the 2025 Belarus election?
Re-arrested • 25%
Remain free • 25%
Leave Belarus • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Reports from human rights organizations and Belarusian government announcements
Belarus Election Poised to Give Lukashenko Seventh Term Amid EU Criticism
Jan 25, 2025, 08:40 PM
Belarus is holding a presidential election on Sunday, January 26, 2025, in which incumbent President Alexander Lukashenko is expected to secure a seventh term in office. Lukashenko, who has been in power since 1994, has pardoned 15 prisoners ahead of the election, including eight serving sentences on extremism and seven on drug offenses. The early voting has seen approximately 27% voter turnout. The election is widely criticized as a 'sham,' with opposition figures jailed or forced into exile, and the European Union's High Representative Kaja Kallas stating that Lukashenko 'doesn't have any legitimacy.' Observers note that Lukashenko has tightened his grip on power, with critics dubbing him 'Europe's last dictator.' The election takes place under the shadow of Belarus's increasing reliance on Russia, especially following its support for Moscow during the conflict in Ukraine.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other candidate wins • 10%
No clear outcome by January 31, 2025 • 10%
Lukashenko wins • 70%
Election annulled • 10%
General acceptance of the results • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Condemnation and new sanctions • 25%
Calls for dialogue without sanctions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Constitutional changes • 25%
New political opposition movements • 25%
Increased authoritarian measures • 25%
International diplomatic engagement • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Constitutional changes proposed • 25%
Increased political repression • 25%
Strengthened ties with Russia • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased isolation • 25%
Improved relations with the EU • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Less restrictive • 25%
Other changes • 25%
No change • 25%
More restrictive • 25%
Strengthened ties • 25%
Increased tension • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Weakened ties • 25%