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What will change in the leadership of Russia's military operation in Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New Commander Appointed • 25%
Current Commander Remains • 25%
Operation Ceased • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian Ministry of Defense or major news organizations
Story
Putin Says Russia Should Have Launched Full-Scale Invasion of Ukraine Earlier Than February 2022 During Live Event
Dec 19, 2024, 01:55 PM
During a recent live event, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that the decision to launch the special military operation in Ukraine should have been made earlier than February 2022. He expressed that a more systematic preparation for the operation was necessary. Reflecting on the past three years, Putin acknowledged the challenges faced by Russia and himself, asserting that if he could revisit the situation in 2022, he would advocate for an earlier invasion rather than waiting for Russia's position to deteriorate. This sentiment was echoed in multiple reports, emphasizing that Putin believes the offensive should have commenced sooner.
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Other response • 25%
Yes, partial changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Yes, complete overhaul • 25%
New military commander appointed • 25%
Leadership remains unchanged • 25%
Leadership restructuring • 25%
Existing leadership remains • 25%
Tarnavskyi remains in command • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
New commander appointed • 25%
Lutsenko reinstated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Change in strategic focus • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Another known candidate • 25%
Alexander Chayko • 25%
A currently unknown candidate • 25%
No appointment by this date • 25%
Increased military activity • 25%
Decreased military activity • 25%
New frontlines established • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Officer from 135th Motorised Rifle Regiment • 25%
Officer from 4th Guards Military Base • 25%
Officer from another Russian military unit • 25%
No high-ranking officer targeted • 25%
Shared leadership structure • 25%
Leadership unknown • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
New military commander appointed • 25%
Increase in activity • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Fluctuating levels • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%