Market
What will be TikTok's compliance status with the DSA by June 2025?
2
European Commission•TikTok•Digital Services Act•Russian•Romania•Călin Georgescu•Commission•Ursula von der Leyen•EU
Resolution / Starting Odds
Compliant • 33%
Non-compliant • 33%
Partially compliant • 34%
Official statement or report from the European Commission
Story
EU Probes TikTok Over Alleged Russian Interference in Romania's Election, Citing DSA Violations
Dec 17, 2024, 11:00 AM
The European Commission has initiated a formal investigation into TikTok under the Digital Services Act (DSA) following allegations of Russian interference in Romania's presidential election. The investigation focuses on TikTok's recommender systems and its policies on political advertising and paid-for content, amid concerns that the platform's algorithms were manipulated to influence the election outcome. The probe was prompted by the unexpected victory of Călin Georgescu, a far-right and pro-Russian candidate, in the first round of the election, which was later annulled due to allegations of foreign interference. TikTok influencers are suspected of playing a role in this manipulation. The Commission's President, Ursula von der Leyen, emphasized the need to protect EU democracies from such interference, stating that the investigation aims to determine if TikTok failed to mitigate risks related to election integrity. This is a significant test of the EU's new social media regulation rules, and TikTok could face fines of up to 6% of its global revenue if found non-compliant.
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Similar markets
Sold to another company • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Other status • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Not sold, banned • 25%
Sold to a non-US company • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Not sold, not banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Modified restrictions • 25%
Acquired by U.S. entity • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Unrestricted operations • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Concerns partially resolved • 25%
Concerns fully resolved • 25%
Concerns unresolved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Continues under new ownership • 25%
Continues under current ownership • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operations continue with restrictions • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Operations continue without change • 25%
Other significant change • 25%
Non-compliance leading to ban • 25%
Fully compliant with no changes • 25%
Compliant after divestment • 25%
Compliant after operational changes • 25%