Market
What will be the U.S. position on Israeli settlements by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Support settlements • 25%
Oppose settlements • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No official position • 25%
Official U.S. government statements, reputable international news agencies
Story
Trump Promises Netanyahu Support to Violate Gaza Ceasefire, Lift Sanctions on Pegasus Spyware, and Facilitate West Bank Land Theft
Jan 14, 2025, 03:25 PM
Israeli media has reported that former U.S. President Donald Trump promised Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu support to violate a nascent ceasefire in Gaza. The reports indicate that Trump assured Netanyahu he could break the ceasefire and resume military actions after signing a deal. Additionally, Trump allegedly offered a 'gift bag' of benefits, which includes lifting sanctions on Israel's Pegasus spyware and providing support for Israeli settlers and extremists, as well as facilitating land acquisition in the West Bank.
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Similar markets
Support settlement expansion • 25%
Oppose settlement expansion • 25%
No clear policy • 25%
Other • 25%
Other significant policy change • 25%
Policy expansion • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Neither party • 25%
Both parties • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Humanitarian aid to Gaza • 25%
Military aid to Israel • 25%
Observer • 25%
No role • 25%
Direct negotiator • 25%
Mediator • 25%
Increased negotiations • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No significant change in approach • 25%
Military action • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%