Market
What actions will Israel take in response to Trump's ultimatum by January 20, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Hamas•Trump•Israel•Adam Boehler•Hostage Affairs•Fox•Biden•Middle East•Gaza•Office•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military action • 25%
Increased negotiations • 25%
No significant change in approach • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government or credible international news agencies
Story
Trump Warns Hamas of 'Hell to Pay' if Hostages Not Released Before Inauguration
Dec 9, 2024, 08:44 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has issued a strong ultimatum regarding the release of hostages held by Hamas, stating that there would be severe consequences if they are not freed before his inauguration on January 20, 2025. Trump's comments have intensified discussions and negotiations between Israel and Hamas, with reports suggesting that Hamas feels the pressure. Adam Boehler, nominated for Hostage Affairs, emphasized on Fox that the Biden administration's lack of cooperation with Israel from the outset could have prevented the hostage situation. Trump's envoy to the Middle East has also warned that the day of inauguration would be 'not pretty' if the hostages remain in captivity, and expressed hope for a ceasefire in Gaza before the inauguration. Trump's exact words were, 'If the hostages are not released prior to January 20, 2025, the date that I proudly assume Office as President of the United States, there will be ALL HELL TO PAY in the Middle East. RELEASE THE HOSTAGES NOW!'
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Similar markets
Issue a public statement • 25%
Other • 25%
No official response • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No official response • 25%
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Increased restrictions • 25%
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No significant response • 25%
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All hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire without hostage release • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
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Support Trump's stance • 25%
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Military action in Gaza • 25%
No significant action • 25%
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Military action initiated • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
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Recall ambassadors • 25%
Issue formal protests • 25%
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