Market
What will be the state of U.S.-Denmark relations by the end of 2025 following Trump's Greenland comments?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Unchanged relations • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Official statements from U.S. or Danish governments or verified news reports
Story
Blinken and French Foreign Minister Dismiss Trump's Greenland Acquisition Idea and Threat of Force
Jan 8, 2025, 04:39 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, during a press conference in Paris with French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot, dismissed the notion of the United States acquiring Greenland as proposed by President-elect Donald Trump. Blinken stated that the idea was 'obviously not a good one' and emphasized that it 'obviously is not going to happen.' He stressed the importance of working closely with allies rather than pursuing actions that could alienate them. The comments were made in response to Trump's recent remarks where he did not rule out the use of force to incorporate Greenland into the U.S., citing national security reasons.
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Denmark retains control without negotiations • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
US acquires Greenland • 25%
No Official Comment • 25%
Relations Worsen • 25%
Relations Unchanged • 25%
Relations Improve • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tensions escalated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S. purchases Greenland • 25%
Denmark rejects proposal • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
Open to negotiations • 25%
Encourages Greenlandic decision • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Firm rejection • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Formal acquisition negotiations • 25%
Denmark strengthens defense of Greenland • 25%
Third-party mediation • 25%
U.S.-Denmark agreement on Greenland • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Increased cooperation without purchase • 33%
Formal purchase proposal • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Both reject negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Formal purchase proposal • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%