Market
What will be the state of U.S.-Canada trade relations by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Relations deteriorate • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Official announcements and trade reports from both governments
Story
Trump Proposes Canada as 51st State, Promises Better Health Coverage and Tax Cuts Amid 25% Tariff Threat on February 1
Jan 26, 2025, 02:23 AM
U.S. President Donald Trump has stated that Canadians would benefit from 'much better' health coverage and a 'tremendous' tax cut if Canada were to become the 51st state of the United States. Trump made these remarks during a briefing in North Carolina, suggesting that such a move would eliminate tariffs between the two countries. He also mentioned his intention to impose 25% tariffs on Canadian exports starting February 1, emphasizing that the U.S. does not need Canada's cars, lumber, and food products. Trump's comments come amidst ongoing discussions about the U.S.-Canada trade relationship, which supports 3.7 million jobs across both nations and involves $3.6 billion in daily trade. Canada's total forestry exports alone were valued at $45.6 billion in 2022.
View original story
Similar markets
New tariffs imposed • 25%
Canada becomes U.S. state • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Improved • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Significant trade conflict • 25%
Reduced Tariffs Agreement • 25%
No Tariffs Agreement • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Increased Tariffs • 25%
Free trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs reduced but no free trade • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Tariffs negotiated • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Trade agreement revised • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation to trade war • 25%
Temporary truce • 25%
Formal trade agreement • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Significant tariff reductions • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, tariffs imposed • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Formal merger talks • 25%
Strengthened economic ties • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Dispute unresolved • 25%
U.S. imposes tariff • 25%
Canada agrees to new terms • 25%
Trade agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%