Market
Canada-U.S. Trade Relations Status by End of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Significant trade conflict • 25%
Trade agreements, official statements from Canadian and U.S. governments
Story
Canada Unveils $1.3 Billion Border Security Plan, Including Aerial Intelligence Task Force, Amid Trump’s 25% Tariff Threat
Dec 18, 2024, 02:18 AM
The Canadian government has announced a $1.3 billion (CAD) border security plan aimed at addressing concerns raised by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump regarding the flow of migrants and illegal drugs across the northern border. This funding, which translates to approximately $908 million in U.S. dollars, will be allocated over six years and includes the establishment of a 24/7 'Aerial Intelligence Task Force' that will utilize helicopters, drones, and mobile surveillance towers. The initiative is intended to mitigate the potential impact of Trump's threat to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian imports unless Canada takes measures to curb irregular migration and drug trafficking. The plan was unveiled amid rising tensions between Canada and the U.S., particularly in light of Trump's recent statements regarding border security. Canadian officials have emphasized that this investment is part of a broader strategy to enhance border monitoring and security measures.
View original story
Similar markets
New trade agreement • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Improved • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Trade agreement revised • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tariffs negotiated • 25%
Formal trade agreement • 25%
Escalation to trade war • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Temporary truce • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No agreement, tariffs imposed • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Significant tariff reductions • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
No major changes • 25%
U.S. imposes tariff • 25%
Dispute unresolved • 25%
Canada agrees to new terms • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade war • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Other • 25%
Improvement • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Formal merger talks • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened economic ties • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Tensions escalate • 25%
Negotiated resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%