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What will be the state of Kurdish militant activities in Syria by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in activities • 25%
Decrease in activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements
Story
Turkey's Foreign Minister Fidan Asserts No Shelter for PKK/YPG in Syria, Emphasizes Ceasefire in Gaza
Dec 28, 2024, 03:17 PM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan conveyed a firm stance to U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken during a recent phone call, stating that Turkey will not permit the PKK/YPG terrorist organization to establish a presence in Syria. Fidan emphasized that the Turkish government is committed to ensuring the security and territorial integrity of Syria, asserting that no shelter will be allowed for Kurdish militants. He also highlighted the necessity for increased efforts to achieve a lasting ceasefire in Gaza. This communication underscores Turkey's ongoing concerns regarding Kurdish militant activities in the region and its support for the Syrian government's stability.
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Significantly diminished • 25%
Moderately diminished • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Increased • 25%
Reduced autonomy • 25%
No autonomy • 25%
Increased autonomy • 25%
Maintained current autonomy • 25%
Integrated into political system • 25%
Remain armed and independent • 25%
Disarmed but not integrated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased Kurdish militant presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal of Kurdish militants • 25%
Significant reduction in militant activity • 25%
No change in militant presence • 25%
Join other militant groups • 25%
Exiled from Syria • 25%
Remain active in reduced capacity • 25%
Lay down arms and integrate into society • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
Increase in presence • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
No change • 25%
Minor reduction • 25%
Strengthened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Significantly weakened • 25%
Defeated • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Significantly reduced • 25%
Expanded • 25%
Other • 25%
Maintained • 25%
No significant impact on PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Operation not conducted • 25%
Partial success with continued PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%