Market
What will be the reported number of fatalities from the Goma prison break and M23 offensive by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
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Official reports from the Democratic Republic of Congo government or international news agencies
Story
Mass Prison Break of 3,000 Inmates in Goma Amid M23 Offensive, Fatalities Reported
Jan 27, 2025, 10:35 AM
A mass prison break occurred at Munzenze prison in Goma, Democratic Republic of Congo, on Monday morning amidst an offensive by the M23 rebel group. The prison, which holds approximately 3,000 inmates, was reportedly set ablaze as prisoners escaped into the surrounding streets. The escape was facilitated by the M23 movement entering the city, with reports of heavy artillery fire heard in the city center. There have been fatalities reported during the escape, though specific numbers have not been disclosed. Footage has emerged showing prisoners fleeing from the north east corner of the prison.
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150-199 • 25%
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200-249 • 25%
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200 to 399 • 25%
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400 to 599 • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
Negotiated ceasefire • 25%
M23 captures Goma • 25%
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Congolese forces reclaim Goma • 25%
M23 controls Goma • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
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Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
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Sanctions on Rwanda • 25%
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32 or more deaths • 25%
16-23 deaths • 25%