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What will be the control status of Goma by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Government retains control • 25%
M23 takes control • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Other group takes control • 25%
Reports from international news agencies or official statements from the Democratic Republic of Congo government
Story
Mass Prison Break of 3,000 Inmates in Goma Amid M23 Offensive, Fatalities Reported
Jan 27, 2025, 10:35 AM
A mass prison break occurred at Munzenze prison in Goma, Democratic Republic of Congo, on Monday morning amidst an offensive by the M23 rebel group. The prison, which holds approximately 3,000 inmates, was reportedly set ablaze as prisoners escaped into the surrounding streets. The escape was facilitated by the M23 movement entering the city, with reports of heavy artillery fire heard in the city center. There have been fatalities reported during the escape, though specific numbers have not been disclosed. Footage has emerged showing prisoners fleeing from the north east corner of the prison.
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Negotiated ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
M23 captures Goma • 25%
M23 halted before reaching Goma • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Majority return home • 25%
Resettlement in other areas • 25%
Majority remain displaced • 25%
Complete resolution • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
No change • 25%
Worsening • 25%
Under Syrian government control • 25%
Remains under current control • 25%
Under IDF control • 25%
Under other forces' control • 25%