Market
International response to M23-Congo conflict by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions on Rwanda • 25%
Peacekeeping forces deployed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Official statements from international organizations and governments
Story
Rwandan-Backed M23 Rebels Capture Goma, Congo Declares 'War'
Jan 27, 2025, 01:28 AM
Rwandan-backed M23 rebels have captured the city of Goma in eastern Congo, marking a significant escalation in the region's ongoing conflict. The rebels announced the city's capture early Monday, following a 48-hour deadline for the Congolese army to surrender their weapons. The advance into Goma, a key city with a population of around 2 million, caused mass panic among residents and led to the shutdown of the local airport. The Congolese government has labeled the rebel advance as a 'declaration of war,' and has severed diplomatic ties with Rwanda, which is accused of supporting the M23 despite Rwanda's denials. The United Nations has condemned the offensive, calling for an immediate halt to hostilities and the withdrawal of Rwandan forces from Congolese territory. The conflict has already displaced millions and threatens to further exacerbate one of Africa's longest wars.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation • 25%
No action • 25%
Peacekeeping mission • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Deployment of peacekeeping forces • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased sanctions on Mali • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
France • 25%
Other country • 25%
United States • 25%
South Africa • 25%
Sanctions on Rwanda • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Mediation Efforts • 25%
Increased Peacekeeping Forces • 25%
M23 captures Goma • 25%
Negotiated ceasefire • 25%
M23 halted before reaching Goma • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%