Market
What will be the primary international response to a confirmed Oreshnik missile launch by Russia by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Military aid increase • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Statements from NATO, the United Nations, and major world powers
Story
U.S. Warns of Potential Russian Oreshnik Missile Attack on Ukraine in Coming Days
Dec 11, 2024, 02:32 PM
U.S. officials have warned that Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile at Ukraine in the coming days. The missile, an intermediate-range ballistic missile, is not considered a game-changer on the battlefield but is seen as an attempt to terrorize Ukraine. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has issued an update on a new missile test, describing the situation as 'hell' being fired on Russia. The U.S. is focusing on providing Ukraine with the necessary air defenses to protect against Russian missiles and drones. The Oreshnik missile has been described as lethal by U.S. intelligence, although its impact on the conflict is assessed to be limited.
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No significant response • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Engagement in dialogue • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
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Increased sanctions on Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Other response • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
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No Significant Response • 25%
Military Assistance to Ukraine • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
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No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by NATO • 25%
No official condemnation • 25%
Condemnation by the UN • 25%
Condemnation by the EU • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Call for peace talks • 25%
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
No formal response • 25%