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What will be the international response if Russia launches a missile at Ukraine by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official announcements from NATO, EU, or UN, as well as major international news outlets.
Story
U.S. Warns of Potential Russian Experimental Hypersonic Missile Attack on Ukraine
Dec 11, 2024, 02:53 PM
U.S. officials have warned that Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile, an intermediate-range hypersonic ballistic missile, at Ukraine in the coming days. This follows the closure of airspace above the Kapustin Yar Test Site Range from December 7th to December 15th. The U.S. does not consider the Oreshnik missile to be a game-changer on the battlefield but rather an attempt to terrorize Ukraine. In response, the U.S. is focused on providing Ukraine with the necessary air defenses to protect against Russian missiles and drones.
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No significant action • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Sanctions against Ukraine • 25%
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Economic Sanctions • 25%
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Support for Ukraine • 25%
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Missile intercepted or failed launch • 25%
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No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%