Market
Will the U.S. announce additional air defense support to Ukraine in response to Oreshnik missile threats by December 31, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or White House
Story
U.S. Warns of Potential Russian Oreshnik Missile Attack on Ukraine in Coming Days
Dec 11, 2024, 02:32 PM
U.S. officials have warned that Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile at Ukraine in the coming days. The missile, an intermediate-range ballistic missile, is not considered a game-changer on the battlefield but is seen as an attempt to terrorize Ukraine. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has issued an update on a new missile test, describing the situation as 'hell' being fired on Russia. The U.S. is focusing on providing Ukraine with the necessary air defenses to protect against Russian missiles and drones. The Oreshnik missile has been described as lethal by U.S. intelligence, although its impact on the conflict is assessed to be limited.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Moderate improvement in air defenses • 25%
Degradation of air defenses • 25%
No noticeable improvement • 25%
Significant improvement in air defenses • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
USA • 25%
Other • 25%
Germany • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%