Market
How will Ukraine change its military strategy in response to the Oreshnik missile threat by January 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased air defenses • 25%
Offensive operations • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Statements from Ukrainian military officials or defense ministry
Story
U.S. Warns of Potential Russian Oreshnik Missile Attack on Ukraine in Coming Days
Dec 11, 2024, 02:32 PM
U.S. officials have warned that Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile at Ukraine in the coming days. The missile, an intermediate-range ballistic missile, is not considered a game-changer on the battlefield but is seen as an attempt to terrorize Ukraine. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has issued an update on a new missile test, describing the situation as 'hell' being fired on Russia. The U.S. is focusing on providing Ukraine with the necessary air defenses to protect against Russian missiles and drones. The Oreshnik missile has been described as lethal by U.S. intelligence, although its impact on the conflict is assessed to be limited.
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Seeking diplomatic resolutions • 25%
Increased military spending • 25%
Strengthened alliances with Western countries • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Increased Offensive • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Defensive Posture • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Request for international support • 25%
No official response • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other strategic changes • 25%
Decrease in military operations • 25%
Maintain current strategy • 25%
Increase in offensive operations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Request for international sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military operations • 25%
Diplomatic initiatives • 25%
Improved air defense systems • 25%
Cyber defense measures • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
International military support • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
