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What will be the primary basis for any future Russia-Ukraine peace agreement by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Istanbul Agreements • 25%
New Framework • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Content of official peace agreement documents from Russia and Ukraine
Story
Putin Open to Talks on Ukraine Based on Istanbul Agreements, Seeks Zelensky's Re-election
Dec 19, 2024, 11:56 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed readiness to engage in negotiations and compromise on the Ukraine conflict. During his annual press conference, Putin stated that Russian forces are advancing towards achieving their primary goals on the battlefield in Ukraine, taking control of territory daily. He emphasized Russia's willingness to negotiate without preconditions, but highlighted that any talks must be based on agreements reached during the Istanbul negotiations in 2022 and reflect the current realities on the ground. Putin also mentioned his openness to discuss the war with US President-elect Donald Trump, indicating a potential for compromise in future talks. Furthermore, he specified that Russia would only sign peace agreements with the legitimate leader of Ukraine, suggesting that President Volodymyr Zelensky would need to be re-elected to be considered a legitimate signatory.
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Political concessions • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
No significant concessions • 25%
Economic concessions • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Economic concessions • 25%
Political concessions • 25%
No significant concessions • 25%
Territorial disputes • 25%
Economic reparations • 25%
Security guarantees • 25%
Political autonomy • 25%
Security assurances • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Territorial boundaries • 25%
Political Neutrality • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic Agreements • 25%
Territorial Concessions • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic Compensation • 25%
Recognition of Ukrainian Sovereignty • 25%
Withdrawal of Troops • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Territorial disputes • 25%
Military de-escalation • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Humanitarian issues • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Territorial agreements • 25%
Ceasefire agreements • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine remains neutral, no NATO membership • 25%