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What will be Russia's primary concession in a peace deal with Ukraine by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Territorial concessions • 25%
Political concessions • 25%
Economic concessions • 25%
No significant concessions • 25%
Details of the peace agreement as reported by credible international news agencies
Story
Trump Nominee Rubio Urges End to Russia-Ukraine War, Calls for Bold Diplomacy and Concessions
Jan 15, 2025, 04:09 PM
Marco Rubio, nominated by President-elect Donald Trump to be the U.S. Secretary of State, has called for the Russia-Ukraine war to end, stating it should be the official policy of the United States. Rubio emphasized the need for 'bold diplomacy' to achieve a ceasefire and ultimately a peace settlement, acknowledging that both Russia and Ukraine will need to make concessions. He highlighted the difficulty in ending the conflict without leverage for both sides, and noted the unsustainable loss of life in Ukraine, stating, 'The problem that Ukraine is facing is not that they're running out of money, it's that they're running out of Ukrainians.' Rubio also mentioned that it is unrealistic for Ukraine to push Russia back to its pre-February 2022 positions, indicating a need for a realistic approach to peace negotiations. Rubio described the war as unacceptable but necessary to end.
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Other • 25%
Withdrawal of Troops • 25%
Recognition of Ukrainian Sovereignty • 25%
Economic Compensation • 25%
Political Neutrality • 25%
Territorial Concessions • 25%
Economic Agreements • 25%
Other • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Istanbul Agreements • 25%
Other • 25%
New Framework • 25%
NATO non-expansion guarantee • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Lifting of sanctions • 25%
Other condition • 25%
Economic concession • 25%
No concession • 25%
Territorial concession • 25%
Political concession • 25%
Political Concessions • 25%
Territorial Concessions • 25%
Economic Concessions • 25%
No Concessions • 25%
Economic concession • 25%
No concession • 25%
Territorial concession • 25%
Political concession • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Ceasefire without territorial changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other or no agreement • 25%
Demilitarization • 25%
Non-aligned status for Ukraine • 25%
Ceasefire without conditions • 25%
