Market
Will Volodymyr Zelensky be re-elected as President of Ukraine in the next election?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official results from the Central Election Commission of Ukraine
Story
Putin Open to Talks on Ukraine Based on Istanbul Agreements, Seeks Zelensky's Re-election
Dec 19, 2024, 11:56 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed readiness to engage in negotiations and compromise on the Ukraine conflict. During his annual press conference, Putin stated that Russian forces are advancing towards achieving their primary goals on the battlefield in Ukraine, taking control of territory daily. He emphasized Russia's willingness to negotiate without preconditions, but highlighted that any talks must be based on agreements reached during the Istanbul negotiations in 2022 and reflect the current realities on the ground. Putin also mentioned his openness to discuss the war with US President-elect Donald Trump, indicating a potential for compromise in future talks. Furthermore, he specified that Russia would only sign peace agreements with the legitimate leader of Ukraine, suggesting that President Volodymyr Zelensky would need to be re-elected to be considered a legitimate signatory.
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Zelensky not re-elected • 25%
Election postponed • 25%
Election results contested • 25%
Zelensky re-elected • 25%
Opposition candidate wins • 25%
Other • 25%
New candidate emerges • 25%
Zelensky reelected • 25%
Zelensky not re-elected • 25%
Election results disputed • 25%
Zelensky re-elected but not recognized • 25%
Zelensky re-elected and recognized • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Declines invitation • 33%
No invitation received • 34%
Attends inauguration • 33%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains President • 25%
New President from Opposition Party • 25%
New President from Zelenskyy's Party • 25%
Other • 25%
Positively impacts resolution • 25%
Negatively impacts resolution • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
No comment • 25%
No significant new support • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Increased economic support • 25%
