Market
What will be the PKK/YPG response to Erdoğan's ultimatum by December 25, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Lay down arms • 25%
Continue armed resistance • 25%
Seek negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from PKK/YPG or credible news reports
Story
Erdoğan Demands PKK/YPG Kurdish Militants Lay Down Arms by December 25, 2024, or Face Burial in Syrian Soil
Dec 25, 2024, 10:11 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has issued a stark ultimatum to Kurdish militants in Syria, stating they must either lay down their arms or face being buried in Syrian soil alongside their weapons. This declaration was made during a live address on December 25, 2024, where Erdoğan emphasized the seriousness of the situation regarding the PKK/YPG groups, which are designated as terrorists by Turkey. The remarks reflect Turkey's ongoing military stance against Kurdish forces in the region.
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Continue current operations • 25%
Disband and lay down arms • 25%
Seek negotiations with Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
Negotiations lead to a peaceful resolution • 25%
YPG complies and withdraws • 25%
Turkey launches military operation • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
PKK/YPG refuses to disarm • 25%
PKK/YPG partially disarms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
PKK/YPG disarms completely • 25%
Support from some countries • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation by international community • 25%
Support • 25%
No official response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Militants seek negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Militants relocate • 25%
Increased militant activity • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Continued military action • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
New strategy announced • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution Achieved • 25%
Military Operation Launched • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Turkey intervenes militarily • 25%
Joint action by Syria and Turkey • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Syria takes action independently • 25%
PKK/YPG leadership leaves voluntarily • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military operation conducted • 25%
No official response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%