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How will Kurdish militants in Syria respond to Turkish threats by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased militant activity • 25%
Militants seek negotiations • 25%
Militants relocate • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reports from military analysts and news agencies
Story
Erdogan Warns Kurdish Militants: Lay Down Arms or Be Buried; Turkey to Open Aleppo Consulate
Dec 25, 2024, 10:44 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan warned that Kurdish militants in Syria must either lay down their arms or be buried with them in Syrian soil. He referred to the militants as 'separatist killers' and emphasized that Turkey will confront all terrorist organizations and their supporters seeking to exploit circumstances in the region. Erdogan also announced plans to open a Turkish consulate in Aleppo amid escalating tensions between Turkey-backed Syrian fighters and Kurdish militants.
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Military operation conducted • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
PKK/YPG leadership leaves voluntarily • 25%
General support • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Successful operation with significant Kurdish retreat • 25%
Operation called off or delayed indefinitely • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
International support • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
International condemnation • 25%
Military Operation Launched • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution Achieved • 25%
Continue armed resistance • 25%
Lay down arms • 25%
Seek negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Syria takes action independently • 25%
Turkey intervenes militarily • 25%
Joint action by Syria and Turkey • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No official response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Diplomatic pressure but no sanctions • 25%