Market
Outcome of U.S.-North Korea talks by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Denuclearization Agreement • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Military Escalation • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. or North Korean governments, international news reports
Story
Trump Calls North Korea 'Nuclear Power,' Says Kim Jong-un Will Welcome His Return
Jan 21, 2025, 02:02 AM
U.S. President Donald Trump, on his first day in office, referred to North Korea as a 'nuclear power' and expressed optimism about his relationship with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un. Trump, speaking at the White House, mentioned that he had a friendly relationship with Kim during his first term, stating, 'I was very friendly with him. He liked me. I liked him. We got along very well.' He also suggested that Kim would be happy to see his return to the presidency. This statement comes amidst concerns about the implications for U.S. policy on North Korea's denuclearization, as Trump's recognition of North Korea as a nuclear power could signal a shift in approach. South Korean officials have responded by reaffirming their commitment to the complete denuclearization of North Korea, emphasizing the continued cooperation between Seoul and Washington.
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New conflict • 25%
Status quo • 25%
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