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What will be the outcome of Ukraine's offensive in Kursk by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant Ukrainian gains • 25%
Minor Ukrainian gains • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Significant Russian counterattack • 25%
Ukraine expands control further into Kursk • 25%
Russia regains all lost territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Verified reports from reputable news agencies and official Ukrainian or Russian government statements
Story
Ukraine Advances from Sudzha into Russia's Kursk Region; Russian MOD Confirms Attacks
Jan 5, 2025, 01:22 PM
Ukrainian forces have reportedly launched a new offensive in Russia's western Kursk region, advancing from Sudzha and pushing 5-8 kilometers into Russian lines around the town of Berdin. The Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, Andriy Yermak, stated that 'Russia is getting what it deserves.' Ukrainian troops have reportedly occupied Berdin and are moving towards Kurchatov, employing armored vehicles and extensive electronic warfare equipment. Russian state media quoted the Ministry of Defence confirming that Ukraine had launched a counterattack in the Kursk region, claiming that Russian forces had repelled two Ukrainian attacks. Heavy fighting is ongoing, and the offensive aims to expand Ukrainian control in Kursk by pushing Russian forces further from the border. The situation has been reported by multiple sources, including Russian war bloggers, with mixed reports on the outcome.
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Ukraine gains significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Russia regains all lost territory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Russian forces regain territory • 25%
Ukrainian control solidified • 25%
Russian defense holds • 25%
Ukrainian advance • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Russian forces retain control • 25%
Ukrainian forces gain control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Russia regains control over all contested territories • 25%
Ukraine gains control over additional territories • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ukraine gains control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Ukrainians gain 500 square kilometers • 25%
Russians reclaim 200 square kilometers • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ukrainians gain 200 square kilometers • 25%
Significant territorial gain • 25%
Territorial loss • 25%
Minor territorial gain • 25%
No change • 25%
Partial Russian victory • 25%
Ukrainian defense holds • 25%
Ongoing conflict with no clear outcome • 25%
Complete Russian victory • 25%
Diversionary tactics • 25%
Encirclement • 25%
Direct assault • 25%
Guerrilla tactics • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%