Market
Outcome of Ukrainian offensive in Kursk region by April 30, 2025?
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Russia•Kursk•Ukrainian•Sudzha•Kurchatov•Bolshoye Soldatskoye•Russian Ministry of Defense•Ukraine•Russian•Berdin•Office of•of Ukraine•Andriy Yermak
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine gains control over additional territories • 25%
Russia regains control over all contested territories • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from the Ukrainian and Russian governments
Story
Ukraine Launches Surprise Offensive in Russia's Kursk Region; Russia Claims to Repel Attacks
Jan 5, 2025, 01:25 PM
Ukrainian forces have launched a new offensive in Russia's Kursk region, which has been under partial Ukrainian control since a surprise ground offensive in August 2024. The offensive began around 9 am, with Ukrainian troops advancing from Sudzha and pushing towards Kurchatov and Bolshoye Soldatskoye, utilizing extensive electronic warfare equipment. The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that Ukraine initiated counterattacks aimed at halting Russian advances in the area and claimed that its forces have repelled two Ukrainian counter-attacks. Heavy fighting is reported to be ongoing, with Ukrainian forces pushing approximately 5-8 kilometers into Russian lines, particularly around the village of Berdin. The offensive appears to have taken Russian forces by surprise. The Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, Andriy Yermak, acknowledged the offensive, stating, "Russia is getting what it deserves."
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Ukrainian advance • 25%
Russian defense holds • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russians reclaim 200 square kilometers • 25%
Ukrainians gain 200 square kilometers • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
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Ukrainian control solidified • 25%
Russian forces regain territory • 25%
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Ukraine expands control further into Kursk • 25%
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Status quo maintained • 25%
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Russia regains all lost territory • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
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Ukraine gains significant territory • 25%
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Ukraine gains control • 25%
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Minor territorial gain • 25%
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Ukrainian defense holds • 25%