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What will be the outcome of the Ukrainian offensive in Kursk by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine gains significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Russia regains all lost territory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Verified reports from international news agencies and official statements from Ukrainian and Russian governments
Story
Ukraine Launches Surprise Offensive in Russia's Kursk Region
Jan 6, 2025, 04:20 AM
Ukrainian forces have launched a surprise offensive in Russia's Kursk region, advancing towards Bolshoye Soldatskoye near Sudzha. Reports indicate that Ukrainian armored units are making progress, having achieved tactical successes, and have effectively neutralized Russian UAVs through electronic warfare. Russian sources acknowledge the offensive, stating that their forces are engaged in fierce battles to repel Ukrainian advances and claiming to have inflicted up to 340 casualties on Ukrainian forces in Kursk. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky commented on the actions in Kursk, stating, 'Kursk, good news, Russia is getting what it deserves.'
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Ukrainian control solidified • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Russian forces regain territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant Ukrainian gains • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Russia regains all lost territory • 25%
Ukraine expands control further into Kursk • 25%
Significant Russian counterattack • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Minor Ukrainian gains • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Russian forces retain control • 25%
Ukrainian forces gain control • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Russia regains control over all contested territories • 25%
Ukraine gains control over additional territories • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Russian defense holds • 25%
Ukrainian advance • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ukrainians gain 200 square kilometers • 25%
Ukrainians gain 500 square kilometers • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russians reclaim 200 square kilometers • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ukraine gains control • 25%
Territorial loss • 25%
Minor territorial gain • 25%
No change • 25%
Significant territorial gain • 25%
Ongoing conflict with no clear outcome • 25%
Ukrainian defense holds • 25%
Partial Russian victory • 25%
Complete Russian victory • 25%
Guerrilla tactics • 25%
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Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Other • 25%